Entries Tagged as ''

Being a “Boss” in China

Last week I had the opportunity to eat dinner with three bosses from four factories that we were doing a couple projects with this last month.  One owns a large-box printing factory with 200+ employees.  Another was the owner of a plastics stamping factory with about 150-200 people.  And the most vocal guy was the owner of two factories, a wood furniture factory and a clothing factory.

(I’ve written about bosses before and I find these guys, a generation of true entrepreneurs in China, to be fascinating.)

As we sat around the table they started to tell me how difficult it was to be a boss in China nowadays.  At first I took this as the usual “poor me, I’m not making (enough) money on your project” ploy.  But as it went on I realized that there was much sincerity in what was being said regardless of why and I started to take (mental) notes that I immediately wrote down once I got in the taxi to go home.

Some of the specific issues they shared are these:

Control. Worker control is more difficult than ever.  The “new generation” is more independent and has a worse attitude toward work than previous generations.  (Boy, haven’t we all heard this before?!) It’s get worse every year as workers seem to be less willing to do the repetitive daily jobs that are necessary to get production done.

It used to be that they could staff the factories with young women, but now they have to have boys, older women and sometimes older men for the more physically demanding jobs.  With so many of the migrant labor pool gone now, they have to hire more locals–and locals talk.

Turn over is high and always rising. This is partly because there are indeed other options out there and people know about them from friends and the internet.  But it’s also a result of the maturity of the workforce—they know when something is bad and they don’t have to tolerate it any more.  They are increasingly exposed to information about the law and factories and (particularly foreign) bosses have been publicly villainized lately so workers are more courageous/brave.

QC standards are up. We hear this every time we do QC, so I don’t buy it for a minute.  But all these bosses seemed to sincerely believe that they are being held to higher standards now than they were 10 plus years ago.  I doubt it.  I just think that margins are tighter now so they are looking for reasons other than taking responsibility for waste or mismanagement .

Prices are down. Actually, prices of raw materials are up but large retailers are keeping prices constant (because of the bad economy) despite the smaller order qtty’s.  As someone that is the “middle” of many transactions myself, I agree with this—prices are not rising as fast as input costs are and that means that margins are being squeezed.

Labor costs are up. Even though there is unemployment this year, labor in Guangdong province specifically is still expensive as compared to more inland provinces.  All three of these bosses complained that the quality of employee for the money is lower than before.  All of them said they thought that labor cost should have gone down this year but didn’t because so many people left (when back to hometowns) that they’ve had to pay more since there are not so many available.

Management is very rudimentary. This was the first time that I’d heard Chinese bosses (as opposed to foreign bosses) complain about this. I’ve experienced it, I’ve heard everyone from box-store expats to first-time foreign manufactures complain about it.  You read about it in just about every book written (by foreigners) about China.  But all three of these guys when on and on about it.

There were two main items and a lot of other little stories/comments.  First, the fact that while you may have a good manager with years of experience it doesn’t mean that he can solve problems.  Over and over these guys gave examples of how they’d personally have to go in and solve problems because no one else could get it done.  They all said that this was one of the most difficult and time consuming parts of their job.

Second, most of the older (40+ years-old) managers have experience but very little education and with all the new technology they are becoming less and less effective with new processes and are neither the source for new methods nor the solution to new problems.

Theft. Employee graft is always a big deal and getting worse with the continually bad economy.  Not just office supplies but product, recyclable materials, IP, uniforms and phones are the items that go missing the most often.

Speaking for myself and our QC guys, outside of the fact that I must have a target painted on my chest (I’ve been robbed so many times if I hadn’t made a list I’d have forgotten them all), we’ve had pretty good experiences staying in hotels and factories (knock on wood).  This last month was the was just the second time in the last 6 or 7 years that our QC have had things stolen while staying/working in factories.  I’ve never been robbed in a hotel or factory.  Train and bus stations and shopping streets are a different story entirely.

But factory workers and bosses complain of much more crime within their factory.  I was very surprised that they’d talk about this in front of me since we put so much emphasis on protecting our product and our IP.  I’m guessing that either they don’t care, can’t control it or just assume that I know this already.  Probably some of all three.

No one cares. There is no desire to do anything well.  People just want to do their job, not think and go home.  No one really tries to do a good job and no body cares if they do it wrong.

I can personally attest to this being a major problem.  Most recent example: Last week as we were finishing shipping (late) the last container of a large multi-container project the workers in the factory were required to work over time to get the project completed so that we could get all the containers to the port before the closing date.  The boss had mandated the over time, the managers had established the standards and confirmed the processes.  But by 2AM the only people in the factory were line workers and our QC—there was no way that two QC could control the quality of more than 150 people both finishing product and finishing packaging.  Especially since the workers were only required to work until the container was loaded.  Well, you can guess what happened.

Broken items, unpackaged items, master cartons filled with unfilled boxes, incomplete product—it all made it into the container.  We had to call the boss, get him out of bed and into the factory to get things back under control.  He was pissed that he was awakened at 2 AM and that none of his managers were on site.  I was pissed too!

The only people that will pay special attention to you are your spouse and your mother.  Certainly not line workers at 2 AM.  Not a factory administration that thinks they’re not making enough money.  Even if you are just demanding that you get what you were originally promised (contracted for), be aware that the longer you (indirectly) make people work the more spit you’re going to get on your burger.  No one cares about your product as much as you.

Do it or you’re fired! More than once these guys all said that without this threat they wouldn’t get much of anything done.  Since managers can’t solve many problems they are where the proverbial buck stops.  They said they use this threat all the time and every now and then actually do fire someone to keep the threat real.

No Transparency. Every one of these guys says they have a relative running the finance for their factories (one wife, one sister in-law and one sister—all women too) an that they can’t share complete financial information with anyone.  If managers find out about margins they’ll “feel unbalanced: and may be angry or quit.”  If the government finds out they’ll be hit up for more “taxes.”

Over specialization. Under-skilled employees are just too specialized and so can’t be counted on to either do other jobs, creatively solve problems and they require a lot of training (e.g. money) to get them to be able to do other jobs.  You can hire a ton of people off the street to do simple stuff, but finding skilled professionals for more sensitive positions is much more difficult.

I’ve mentioned this before to in relation to finding office employees with work experience in different jobs/industries—especially the equivalent of the mid-level to upper level manager with both advanced degrees and decades of experience.  These guys just don’t exist here.  Anyone with an advanced degree is under 35 (e.g. no or very little experience) and anyone with experience has no education (they basically didn’t go to school in China in the 70’s).  What’s really interesting to me is that this group of bosses are themselves part of this very conundrum.

Many of these issues are specific to the cultures that these bosses created themselves, but they are also general problems across industries that I’ve seen in factory after factory in multiple Chinese provinces for years.

Some Quick Numbers in China

Following on the last post, here are some more interesting numbers coming out of China.

Unless Madoff-style or Enron-style accounting is taught in school, I believe that “Accounting in China” should probably be taught as at least as an anthropology class in International MBA schools: this is just the way numbers are run over here—from SOE’s to NGO’s, to local govts, to private companies.

Item 1.  NGO’s are not. Meaning your donation to the Sichuan earthquake victims actually went to the CCP.  Highlights here, and the original article here (h/t to China Esquire)

Item 2. SOE’s are making a comeback. Contrary to popular belief, SOE’s are not a diminishing part of the Chinese economy, but rather a ever-growing presence.  In the book Capitalism with Chinese Characteristics, Huang discusses this as a mater of policy since the early ‘90’s.  In his (always good) blog Bill Dodson discusses how the tax laws, investments in strategic resources and the stimulus package in China is accelerating it too.

Finally the One Child Policy. The numbers from private groups, again different than the propaganda that the central government is putting out, show that China is going to have a very different set of demographics in just 20 to 30 years.  And, as the comments point out, there are significant questions about the accuracy of the numbers as the census takers are motivated by politics and countervailing job performance standards than by collecting accurate numbers.  But even if the numbers (120-100 girl-boy ratio) are less than that (I’ve read more like 112-104) the result will be the same, just a decade later. Brubaker’s blog is another that I recommend should be regular reading—always good stuff.

The reason for pointing these out is not to make China look bad but to make foreigners coming here for business for the first time (the majority of my clients) look twice (or three or four times).  My intent isn’t to bash China, but rather to point out that just because people work in glass an steel office buildings, wear (pant) suits and use cell phones and computers does not mean that they do business the same way.  I just think that it’s often times a shock for non-Chinese speaking Westerners to see McDonald’s and Starbucks and then find out that account rules are not the same and might just as well be written in cuneiform.

I find the excitement about China to be significantly reduced when the rubber actually hits the road for most people.  More often than not China ventures are not as financially successful as they could be (or were expected to be), often because many coming to China don’t know what they don’t know about Chinese business.  Admittedly, I’m in the fixing-problems business so I only hear the horror stories, but I have to think that many problems that foreigners have in China could be managed if not avoided if more education and DD were added into the pre-order processes.

Good luck.

When Good News is Bad

The news out of China is surprisingly upbeat.  Production numbers are up, domestic consumption is up, the housing and stock markets are still rising and car purchases are up too.  If you go to any shopping mall in Shenzhen you’d really be forced to ask yourself “what recession?!”  It looks that good.

Even though I’ve doubted before that they can keep it up, I’m hopeful that China can keep injecting cash into their own economy.  But there is context and other numbers that make me worry that this can’t continue.  The real telling numbers are these:

1. Loans are up despite the govt tightening. This is a clue as to where the money for domestic consumption is coming from.  If FDI is down, orders for export are down but loans and domestic spending are both up, where do you think that money is coming from?

2. And electric consumption is down. Obviously the money isn’t coming from orders.

3. Exports from China are still down year on, Germany and Japan too—meaning world demand is not yet back regardless of what Chinese shoppers are doing. So either the government found the magic pill to get Chinese consumers to actually consume or there are going to be a lot of NLP’s in a couple of years–maybe they’re the same thing!  Want to know what the US housing/stock market crash would look like if it was in China?  Just wait.  You will.

4. Oct 1 is the 60th anniversary of the CCP. Do you honestly think that they’ll allow a bad economy to ruin this celebration?  Not a chance.

5. What happens in China stays in China.  The RMB is not convertible and can’t be invested outside of the country—cash comes into China but never leaves. The fact that 1.5 billion Chinese consumers don’t have the impact that 300 million recession-hit Americans do is magnified by limits on the export of the RMB. So while foreign companies can make money, no Chinese companies or individuals are going to be investing abroad. (“Chinese companies” that invest abroad are NOT Chinese but from Hong Kong or are from other tax advantageous areas or have special state permission, i.e. support state interests.)  By the way, one reason the RMB isn’t portable is because if you had all the cash suddenly leave China what do you think would happen to the domestic savings accounts (that the government forces banks to loan to SME’s)?  What would happen to the stock market?  What would happen to the housing market?  Since people can’t put their money anywhere else, these markets are unnaturally high.  Release of the RMB to international markets would be like a pin in a huge balloon–explosion, destruction and then inflation.

6. Almost everything you see here is scripted for someone else’s agenda.

7. Call it whatever you’d like, PC Accounting, Accounting with Chinese Characteristics, none of what you read is true.

Most businessmen (and many Chinese) conveniently think that business is business and politics is something that is far away in the north.  That may be true “back home” and that’s certainly true when it comes to law enforcement here.  But the government is involved is a SIGNIFICANTLY larger % of the economy in China than probably just about anywhere you’re coming from.  This is true even for “privately” owned factories.  Remember, despite the fact that China has more people than any other country on the planet (and combined middle and upper classes the size of the total US population) consumers are a much smaller percentage of the economy than any other developed economy by a wide margin.  So any increase in numbers of the Chinese economy (e.g. “China will reach 8% growth in 2009”) is completely a product of government involvement in the economy at best and government manipulation of numbers at worst.

(Thanks to John T. for the article link) From the article:

China has predicated its very claim of being the healthiest large economy in the world on faulty statistics. The government insists that even though China’s all-important export sector has been devastated — contracting about 25 percent in the past year — a massive uptick in domestic consumption has kept factories producing and growth churning along. A close examination of retail sales and GDP growth, however, tells a different story. China’s domestic retail sales have risen about 15 percent year on year, but that does not really translate into Chinese consumers purchasing 15 percent more televisions and T-shirts. The country tabulates sales when a factory ships units to a retailer, meaning China includes unused or warehoused inventory in its consumption data. There is ample evidence that state-owned enterprises buy goods from one another, simply shifting products back and forth, and that those transactions count as retail sales in national statistics.

China’s retail statistics seem implausible for other reasons, too. They would imply an increase in salaries among Chinese people, allowing them to purchase that extra 15 percent. To be sure, the Statistics Bureau reported salaries had increased 12.9 percent in the first half of 2009. But Chinese netizens complained such numbers were hard to believe — as did the bureau’s chief.

A look at GDP growth also raises serious questions. China’s economy grew at an annualized 6.1 percent rate in the first quarter, and 7.9 percent in the second. Yet electricity usage, a key indicator in industrial growth and a harder metric to manipulate, declined 2.2 percent in the first six months of the year. How could an economy largely dependent on manufacturing grow while its industrial sector shrank?

It couldn’t; the numbers don’t add up. China announced a $600 billion stimulus package (equal to about 14 percent of GDP) last fall. At that point, local governments started counting the dedicated stimulus funds in GDP statistics — before finding projects to use the funds, and therefore far before the trillions of yuan started trickling into the economy. Local governments keen to raise their growth and production numbers said they spent stimulus money while still deciding on what to spend it, one economist explained. Thus, China’s provincial GDP tabulations add up to far more than the countrywide estimate.

Finally, the tire (or tyre) clash that is heating up—who loses out more in a trade war at this point?  I think that it’s the US.  We need both the cheap products made in China to keep inflation low and the buying power of the Chinese govt to keep investing in our debt.  China, will increasingly be trying to decouple their economy from the US and encourage both domestic consumption and exports to other markets and this will fuel that plan.  Oh, yea, and this is another broken campaign promise by BO.

I may be the only guy whose business is China and who is publicly hoping that my analysis of China’s current situation is wrong.

Three Book Recommendations.

First, I have completely loved reading Yasheng Huang’s “Capitalism with Chinese Characteristics.”  This is easily the best book that I have ever read on the development (or regression?) of capitalism in China.   Just wonderful in it’s explanations of detailed economic events in the context of the very politicized Chinese economy of the ‘80’s, 90’s and today.

Capitalism with Chinese Characteristics

Be warned: this is not a book for the faint of heart.  Huang is a professor of political economy and international management at the Sloan School of Management at MIT.  The book reads more like a thesis than a Sunday-morning coffee-house or beach-reading book.

In brief, this is the scientific analysis of the question on everyone’s lips, “Just how capitalist is China anyway?”  The short (rather surprising) answer?  Less now than 20 years ago.

The long and very detailed answer is that there have been major policy shifts in the last twenty years that have had significant impacts on the Chinese economy.  In combination, these changes have effectively eliminated the rural entrepreneur and increased the role of government in the urban economy exponentially.

Further, the undervalued proximity of neighboring Hong Kong (one of if not the most free-market places on the planet) has had an absolutely immeasurable affect on the Chinese economy.  Far from the typical commentary that “Hong Kong would be dead with out the business that China runs through it” Huang details the reality that EVERY SINGLE “Chinese” business success story would not have happened at all without the city state’s legal and business systems being so close and available to mainland Chinese entrepreneurs (hence the inability of any other country to successfully copy China’s economic ‘miracle).

Other points of significance included the facts that since the policy shift in the 90’s: individual household income is down, education levels are down, access to health-care is down, size of government is significantly larger, poverty is up, government corrupt!on is up.

He also tackles the western media perpetuated myth that if the numbers (GDP) are big (8% or higher) than that equals good policies and policy decisions.  He takes on the talking heads (mostly westerners) that have lauded China for success by pointing out specifically that they have not only misunderstood but totally misreported China’s current economic situation.

If China is your business then you need to read this.

Second, like Dan Harris at China Law Blog, I also received a signed copy of Sam Goodman’s book: Where East Eats West. Goodman’s book is more of a handbook or a how-to manual for China, than a book about China.  It’s one of those handy refer-to-often type of reference manuals that you keep in your glove box or within arm’s reach on your desk.

Where East eats West

There is a ‘chapter’ on just about every conceivable problem or question (same same) that you’ll ever come across while working in China.  Sam not only has the China chops to dish out these answers but he’s brutally honest and direct when sharing them—something I find very refreshing in this tip-toe-around-the-real-issues PC world that we now live in.

This book is great because you can pick it up and open to any page and read for 5 minutes or 30 minutes and not worry about following a story line—there isn’t one—it’s just vignette after vignette of real on-the-ground business experience in China.  You’ll swing back and forth between “I have so been there” and laughing out loud at things that sound impossible (only to find out for yourself later that they’re all true).

Like your toothbrush and the Imodium, this is a must-have for anyone traveling to China.

Finally, a book that is less about China today and more about where historical Chinese attitudes of superiority may (rightfully?) come from.  When Asia was the World, by Stewart Gordon, is a fun and captivating recounting of personally stories of how far reaching Asian trade, politics and philosophy were before the West was even tying their proverbial shoes.  It’s a fantastic travelogue through the Asia of 1000 years ago.

When Asia was the World

Monks, traders, diplomats, doctors and others all make their appearance in this very readable and detailed account of life in Asia (Mediterranean to China) from 500 to 1500 CE.  The individual stories are captivating and together in the context of a vibrant, educated global economy they paint a picture of “the past” that, at least for me, was more “modern” than I had previously understood.

Of the three, this is the Sunday-morning coffee-house book or airplane book.  Very enjoyable.

Next time you’re in the Hong Kong Airport, pick up all three!

UK Telegraph’s Peter Foster on SRI’s blog

Had a friend send me a link to a nice writeup about the SRI blog in the UK Telegraph.

“If you’re interested in the nuts-n-bolts of doing business in China (and even if you’re not) I recommend checking out the excellent blog run by David Dayton at Silk Road International, which is a “project management” outfit that helps companies find suppliers in China and other parts of Asia.

Sounds dreary, but his accounts are full of those glorious little details that illuminate the actual business of global trade in 2009, with all its petty, parochial frustrations, language barriers and cultural chasms that bedevil the ‘global’ marketplace in real life.”  more…

Thanks, Peter.