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China US Internet War?!

Reports of an “Internet War” between China and the US. China is apparently developing a new internet (CNGI) to increase “innovation” and global competitiveness in China. My first thoughts (ok, my second thoughts after—“considering recent trends this certainly means more government control”) are: Why is this a “war?” Why do we always have to fight? Why can’t we all just love?

Really, why is the development of the Chinese economy always seen as a threat in the US? Don’t we want more/larger/more developed markets across the globe? Isn’t competition the key to Smithsonian free market principles that we claim to advocate? Why isn’t a “better” internet platform in China a good thing? (Granted, the probability of increased efficiencies in Chinese government control more than likely will accompany any “development” in national level technology developments.)

The reality is that a better system does not necessarily mean more innovation or competition in either the short of long terms. First, the delivery systems for the current Chinese internet are crippling. The Chinese system that was already built to be “better than international standards” in the just last 10 years is painfully slow, limited by a lack of competition in distribution, poor quality final delivery infrastructure and government interference/censorship. Second, having a great system doesn’t mean that anyone will know how to use it effectively—certainly not the 90% of college grads that can’t compete with the current system. Third, who knows what “better” is and if it will really even work or not. How many people/companies/regions will even have access?

One can only hope that China will indeed soon become competitive in the areas of R&D and other innovations. This should be seen as great news in the US—not as a war of any sorts. Status Quo in China is piracy, mass production of Western-design products and sub-par domestic products. Furthermore, the ability of China’s current college grads to be competitive in the global economy has been reported (repeatedly) to be some where around 10% of total college grads—meaning 9 in 10 can’t meet international standards and could certainly use a does of “innovation.”

Anything that develops the Chinese market, increase the knowledge and ability of both Chinese consumers and employees/graduates should be totally supported by the US! If market and consumer development is war, put me on the front lines!

“It’s All Good Fun! But not as fun as 15 years ago!” [THAILAND COUP]

Since the coup in Thailand a couple days ago, I’ve received several emails from friends and had multiple conversations with Western folks who are wondering what the heck is going on in Thailand. All have been wondering if it’s safe. Some have trips planned and were worried about entering a country that just had a coup. Even after telling them that coups are no big deal in Thailand, that there have been some 20 coups the past 60 years, it still seems scary to them. My response to them has been “hey, Sabai Sabai, the mangos are still flowing…it’s no big deal. You probably won’t even notice it.”

Well, I spoke with my Thai mother-in-law this morning to see how things are going. She could not have stated my point any better:

“Oh, it’s all good fun (sanuk!) But not as fun as 15 years ago when they were shooting!”

This sums it up! If you are planning to go to Thailand, GO NOW! Maybe there will be fewer tourists and you’ll have even a better trip! (Really, the common Thai thinks this is fun! so what’s all the fuss about?)

Minimum Wage? In China?

Apple got busted. Not because Apple itself was doing anything illegal, as the evidence finally bore out—although their subcontractor may have been a little iffy on a few minor issue. Nor were Apple or their subcontractor doing anything that most other factories in China aren’t also doing. They got busted because they have a big name—and a lot of Americans are going to feel guilty that some poor Chinese peasants are being “forced” to make iPods. That was the point of the “exposure.”

China does have a set standard for hours, wages, working conditions, age of laborers ,etc. For example, in Shenzhen the minimum wage is just over 800RMB a month (about $100). There is a set maximum of 60 hours a week per work week too. Apple and their sub-contractor confirmed that they were following these restrictions for the most part and promised to take better care of workers in the future.

So what’s the reality of workers in China? We work with over 50 different factories on a consistent basis and many more on an infrequent basis. This is what I’ve seen

Line workers. They are typically in over supply (except for recently in Guangdong Province there’s been a shortage) which means that it’s not necessary for factory wages to be competitive, or even at the national minimum since there are literally lines of people waiting at the factory gates. Line workers are supposed to get paid 800RMB (about $100)but there are very few factories that really pay that much cash out. Almost without exception the costs of housing, utilities, food, uniforms, being late, production mistakes, training and broken equipment are all taken directly out of the wages before they are paid. Monthly cash payments are usually much closer to 500RMB ($63) per month than the 800RMB national minimum wage.

We’ve had factory owners tell us directly they can give us good prices because they pay off the Labor Bureau so they don’t have to pay taxes or insurance for workers making the national minimum wage. Not everyone does this, but it’s certainly more common than not. Some factories are more fair than others, but as I’ve said before, “In China, everyone’s at least a little bit ‘iffy.’”

Line workers can work voluntary overtime, and it’s almost always available. And despite the multinational’s protestations to the contrary there is often overtime that is “less than voluntary.” For example, I just got back from a factory that is working on a large project for export to a very large multinational beverage company. I was in the factory all day on Sunday, from 8 until 8, and so were all of the 300 line workers, all the sales people, accountants and other administrators. None of them were officially clocked in and none of the professional staff were doing their normal jobs. The entire factory staff was building product and no one, I was told, was excused from the days work.

Admin and other support/service workers. While they receive a much higher salary per hour, there is no way that sales people, drivers and other service workers are only working 60 hours a week—or working all their hours voluntarily. Granted this group may not in the US either. A couple of examples. We have a factory that almost always supplies us with the same driver as we go from location to location within the factory’s network. This driver is on call 24/7 for 29 days a month. He gets 2 days off each month and he makes 2500RMB (or $315) a month but doesn’t get housing or food. That’s an average of more than 23 hours a day for a 31 day period for about $0.42 an hour.

Example number 2. Sales people from most of the major factories are “strongly encouraged” to spend time with clients on a regular basis. This not only includes office visits and taking time with clients at the factory but also taking them out to dinner, out for drinks, dancing or massages and Karaoke. Since we don’t drink, sing or fraternize with ladies at night we’re a pretty easy client in terms of time spent per order. But sales people love to tell stories of dinners and Karaoke that last until 3 or 4 in the morning. Sales people are not only scared to lose their job if they don’t provide clients with entertainment they are convinced that hours per night and entire weekends are just “what’s expected” from management. Other administrative staff routinely clock out, eat dinner and then go back into the office without clocking back in. In many places it’s an unspoken rule—in just as many places it’s clearly defined as part of the job description.

With Apple the social compliance folks got the press they wanted. But my experience is that international social compliance investigators in China are often just as carefree with the law as are Chinese factories. One experience is typical. We did a project for a large entertainment company last year and their office in Shanghai called us and told us straight out to select the best of the factories that we were using to make the products and make sure that they prepared before the inspectors showed up. The “inspection” lasted less than 30 minutes and covered 2 floors of a 6 story, 3 building factory complex.

Certainly working in a hot and dangerous factory for 12 hours a day is different than driving a car or taking clients out for drinks. But hours at work are hours at work. China is not the US; wages, expectations, overt pressures to work long hours, the ease of firing and hiring, and work environments differ markedly. Apple didn’t so much break Chinese law as they got big and were an easy target for publicity.

Unfortunately, tech plants like Apple’s are typically cleaner, better run, hire better educated employees and have to pay and treat employees better than factories that can use lower skilled laborers. There are many more factories in China that truly do need some bad publicity to motivate them to clean up. But this row with Apple was a just a routine story and is already dead in the Western press. I remember Nike was called on the carpet for the same things a few years ago in Vietnam—as are most multinational companies. They all weather the storm of bad press and continue—usually paying better than other local factories and providing benefits and environments at least as good if not better than local standards and regulations require.

The Chinese Dichotomy

I spent 12 hours in a factory on Monday resolving concerns, fighting with resistant engineers, negotiation with managers, hobnobbing with the owners over lunch, discussing solutions with line managers, reviewing standards with QC/QA folks and generally working though every single production issue imaginable to try and jump start a stalled project. What did my 12 hours get me? A signed agreement that the factory will deliver the promised product a month late and I won’t be charged for it! I was quite pleased. Really.

Now this factory is world class—in terms of production capabilities, machinery and facilities, that is. They have over 3000 employees, are privately owned and some minority owners are Japanese technology companies who are also the biggest customers. But problem solving, customer service, real-time communications and “win-win” are concepts that management has yet to embrace (or even define).

This is nothing new in China, of course. While China leads the world in growth rates, largely on the back of manufacturing for export and domestic infrastructure, it is in no way anywhere near the top in the “science” of business management and customer service. In fact it’s probably one of the world’s worst.

For example, China has gone from almost no cars in the 1980’s to the second largest market in the world twenty five years later. Ditto for the airline industry, home computers, beer and many others. But the average education level is still less than 6th grade. Technical skills and science are a focus for education in China but the application of that education, the ability to use abstraction and social sciences education are more than a little weak. Specifically, while China pumps out 3-4 million college grads every year, less than 10% of them are of the level necessary that they could work in an international company.

What this meant for me at the factory on Monday was simply this: the factory can manufacture just about anything that I want, but if there are problems or if quality standards are not meet, resolving concerns and meeting international standards are difficult requests to accomplish. Changes are often difficult to accommodate even with Western educated engineers—even when the changes are coming from the factory engineers themselves in response to production problems.

In China the typical answer to production problems or QC issues goes something like this: First, try to convince the client to accept the completed, but inferior product. Second, if that won’t work, stall, delay, and find whatever excuse there is to force the client into a time crunch so that the inferior product looks better and better in relation to a whole new production run. Third, if the client is still insistent on original standards, negotiate new prices. Fourth, present new samples, new production schedules for approval. If new samples are not approved return to step number one.

In most Chinese companies the mentality is still “duck and cover” when there are problems. This is not surprising when the costs of mistakes are often taken directly out of the responsible party’s salary. And since upper level managers are never told bad news, when they are finally brought in it’s usually pretty late in the game.
That’s where I was on Monday.

Discussions about our production started with the engineers saying how badly the factory (they themselves) had underestimated the difficulty of the project and how much it was costing them. No matter how many times I hear this excuse it always shocks me. Basically, their saying: We were dumb, it’s our fault, but we’re not going to take responsibility for it. But this seems to be a standard line regardless of factory size and international experience.

The conversation then moved to how difficult and inflexible my standards were. Of course I’d been hearing this same story for the last week as various sample products were rejected, so I waited until they were done before reiterating the same standards that we’d established together months earlier. Now, it’s not like these standards were new or had changed—they are listed clearly in the PO that the factory signed (I know, that’s my mistake—I assumed that a signed contract actually mean something!).

There was no mention of why there were delays or problems, rather just how much it was going to cost to finish the project. Managers, new to the discussions on Monday, were initially angry with me for not being flexible enough, changing standards and not giving them enough time. At this point, when I was being falsely accused, it was time to go on the offensive. I brought out all the contracts and PO’s, the photos, the samples, and every fax and email the factory had ever sent us concerning this project. I knew going in that the managers had never head the whole story and probably hadn’t even ever seen the PO. My strategy was to answer every single objection and misrepresentation with the facts. Since I knew that I didn’t have the clout (small $200,000 order) or the inside track I had to help the managers see the whole story and “shame” them into honoring their previous agreements. To get the mangers on my side I also had to give them a way out—and that way out was to identify two engineers as the culprits.

Throughout the day there were some moments of joking, some angry yelling, a lot of discussion of specifics by me each time they voiced a concern over price, process or standards. By Chinese design it was a contest of wills—who was going to give in first (sometimes called the “iron ass” strategy)—and I was already 3 months and $100K into this so I wasn’t about to cave.

In the end, I got what I expected to get—I got them to retract their demands for more money and to complete the project according to the previously agreed to standards. Basically they’ll complete the contract late and not charge me for it.

So what’s the Chinese Dichotomy? It’s the contrast between the most modern technology and the absolutely parochial mentality of some of the people running it. It’s the size and incredible growth of the Chinese market and the scarcity mentality that still pervades both domestic politics and business in China. It’s the advanced education necessary to use modern technology and the simplistic short sightedness of single project profit maximization. On a physical scale, it’s the few hundred million urban residents with money, education and exposure to the world vs. the eight hundred million rural peasants. As one of my friends described it “it’s like the Flintstones meets the Jetson’s.” That’s China—same planet different worlds.

History with Chinese Characteristics

Junior and senior school students in Shanghai get new textbooks as they start school this fall. So what? you may say. But these new textbooks are different. Writers and education officials have decided that focusing on wars and individuals is an outdated concept—which means that Mao Zedong is mentioned once! That’s right, once! Bureaucrats are looking at Western style learning of history and writing new textbooks that focus on cultures, religions, ideas (not socialism) and science is the most recent step in all-out headlong push to modernize China.

What does this mean on the streets? In the short term it means that there is a conscious and dedicated group of influential bureaucrats changing both China’s future and it’s (remembrance of the) past. As one of my professors in college used to say: the Chinese Communist Party doesn’t believe in Socialism any more. The problem for them is getting out but still retaining power. I absolutely agree. The only real ideology in China today is self preservation through financial security.

The long term effects of these new history books, if these books are adopted across the country (which is the plan), is that the memory of socialism prior to the addition of “Chinese Characteristics” will die with this next generation—if it hasn’t already. Coca-Cola, Man U, the NBA, Honda/Toyota, an MBA or Ph d. in science and Taiwan rock stars are already as easily as much a part of “Chinese urban culture” to China’s 25 and under population as is Mao. Not to mention making money.

But the real test of a successful break with the past is if China can teach its students to forgive Japan.